I said in my post of last week I would go looking for other sources of mortality data.
Whatever doubts I had about the CDC as a trustworthy source of data were amplified when they suddenly changed both how they calculated excess deaths, and how they displayed excess deaths, the day after I made my initial posting. Here's the data the CDC showed the day I made my posting:
Here's what the same data looks like a few days later:
What's happened? They've added a second line - in red. It's main effect seems to be to hide a lot of data and make the graph much harder to read. You'll notice that suddenly changing the way excess mortality was calculated has made much of the previously calculated excess mortality instantly disappear. How convenient an outcome in a heavily-politicized organization! I find it somewhat bizarre that the CDC would suddenly change how they calculated excess mortality for all of 2021 SIX WEEKS BEFORE 2021 IS OVER.
USMortality.com tracks much of the same data as the CDC, and their data is much more user-friendly. Here's their graph showing all deaths (in blue), non-COVID deaths (dotted blue line), the probable range of expected deaths (shaded green), and expected deaths (dotted green line):
We see the same three spikes in Non-Covid Excess deaths as we saw in the CDC graph: A big spike early in the pandemic - probably undiagnosed COVID - a significant spike in July and August of 2020, and an even larger spike in Non-COVID excess deaths in recent months.
Looking at the above graph, the correlation between COVID and non-COVID excess deaths is striking enough that the possibility must be considered that recent Non-COVID deaths are above normal because of undiagnosed COVID deaths. (It would say absolutely horrible things about the US medical system if this were true!)
If you go into the State level data the increase in excess death in August and September in mirrored in almost all the States, except New York, New Jersey, and Massachusetts, where non-COVID excess deaths were near normal. North Carolina's data looks strange enough so I have to suspect their data is either messed up or incomplete:
North Carolina's data is even stranger on the CDC site, as you can see below:
I think we can safely assume the North Carolina data on both sites is messed up! With that caveat, it's fair to say the increase in Non-COVID Excess Deaths in recent months is a fairly robust trend happening across most of the United States.
Here's a table built on the USMortality.com data for the entire United States, as of November 25th:
In graph form, it looks like this if we look at all Excess Deaths including COVID, and Excess Deaths excluding COVID, for the most recent three months where there is reasonably complete data:
The jump in excess deaths comes slightly later when using the data from USMortality.com, but other than that, it pretty much mirrors the figures the CDC produced before they re-jigged their numbers. Over the three months shown, US mortality was still 6.8% higher than normal if COVID deaths are excluded.
When I made a comparable table based on USMortality.com data a week ago, it showed an average of 20 less excess deaths per day, so excess mortality over the summer months is still a moving target waiting on complete data.
Looking at the USMortality.com data at the State level, some States haven't filed data for the last week of September, so the apparent fall-off in excess deaths at the end of September may reflect incomplete data rather than any diminution of the number of excess deaths.
A spike in non-COVID mortality was also recently reported in the UK. The Office for National Statistics data showed that England and Wales registered 20,823 more deaths than the five-year average in the previous 18 weeks. Only 11,531 of those deaths were from COVID, which leaves 9,292 Non-COVID excess deaths.
I couldn't resist tabulating the OECD data for England the most recent three-month period for which data is available:
In graph form:
At an average of 5.7% Non-COVID Excess Deaths, the recent UK spike in non-COVID excess deaths was not quite as high as the average 6.8% seen in the US in recent months, but Non-COVID Excess Deaths were still significantly elevated in recent months.
Canada is so dysfunctional its OECD data lags months behind, so can't know whether the same trend is happening in Canada or not.
Functional countries try to track Excess Mortality promptly, because it is often a good early warning indicator of a generalized health threat with diverse bad outcomes. Chronic Stress would be an example of a health threat that will show up in modest increases in a wide array of causes of death.
Similarly, if something were a generalized threat to the cardiovascular system, excess deaths might be spread across enough specific causes of death as to not be immediately obvious. Given recent reports that the COVID spike protein causes damage to heart cells in vitro, that the FIFA soccer league has seen five times as many sudden cardiac deaths this year as normal, and that those given the mRNA vaccines show markers afterwards of increased heart attack risk, I would be really interested to know if cardiac deaths were elevated from normal in the US or the UK this summer. If cardiac deaths were elevated, it would be even more interesting to know the vaccination status of the heart attack fatalities.
Though some people are suspicious that the recent anecdotal surge in sudden cardiac deaths were caused by the mRNA vaccines, it is equally possible that these sudden deaths were caused by either a delayed after-effect of COVID infection, or could be limited to those who had been infected with COVID prior to vaccination. That's why health authorities in both the US and the UK should be digging down deeply into their data. NOW.
I will provide updates if this story develops further.
This is the reason criminal negligence should not be overlooked when its the government committing the crime. They are indirectly killing thousands of people not knowing how people are dying. Can't they do any research? When Trudeau or Bonnie Henry gets on the news, they act like they are taking action to reduce deaths and flatten the curve, yet when you look slightly beyond what mainstream media tells you, they are doing the opposite. Pushing vaccine, and ignoring that it is not stopping anything. Ignoring how thousands of people are dying from something we dont even know. Truly scary how the government gets away with this. Government is poison to society