A Good Point of Comparison
The cost of a religious conviction that no early treatment for COVID is possible...
Yesterday I drew attention to an upcoming e-book by two American doctors who gave active early treatment to 7,000 COVID-infected Americans, with the result that only four were hospitalized and none died. Zero deaths out of 7,000 patients!
As chance would have it, Vancouver Island has seen a comparable number of COVID cases over the past four months: 7,467 cases, to be exact. Of those 7,467 cases, 412 were hospitalized, and 81 died. That’s what the religious belief that no early treatment is possible is costing the people of Vancouver Island.
Those numbers are sourced below, in an op ed no Vancouver Island newspaper is willing to print. (It's on my website at newsnongrata.com)
Measuring the Success of BC’s Vaccine Blitz
The Government of BC has been very successful at persuading its citizenry to get vaccinated. On Friday December 3rd, CBC News reported that “91.2 per cent of those 12 and older in B.C. have received their first dose of a COVID-19 vaccine, 88 per cent a second dose and 10 per cent a third dose.”
BC ramped up a huge push to get its population vaccinated last Spring. By June 29th, as part of BC’s Restart Program, the BC Government proclaimed that “Vaccination is a Gamechanger in BC” and predicted that “Normal social contact” could resume by September 7th, 2021.
By July 16th, 2021 more than a million doses of COVID vaccines had been given on Vancouver Island. Seventy-eight percent of the population over age twelve had received at least one shot, and 47% of the eligible population had been fully vaccinated. Two weeks later, on July 31st, all of those million doses would have reached full efficacy.
The BC Centre for Disease Control’s COVID-19 Situation Report for July 31st contains the following data:
(On the above charts, ‘VIHA‘ stands for Vancouver Island Health Authority.) By the end of July, there had been 5,328 cases, 257 hospitalizations and 41 deaths on Vancouver Island.
For the first nine months of that period, no-one had been vaccinated, with steadily increasing rates of vaccination over the subsequent seven months. That can be our baseline period.
What has happened since then? The most recent COVID-19 Situation Report covers the period up to November 27th, 2021:
Seventeen weeks later, there were a total of 12,795 cases, 669 hospitalizations and 122 deaths on Vancouver Island. Subtracting the comparable totals up till July 31st gives the numbers for the most recent four months: 7,467 cases, 412 hospitalizations, and 81 deaths.
Putting this information into table form allows us to make a comparison between the first 73 weeks of the pandemic and the most recent 17 weeks – when the full effects of one million vaccinations should be most apparent:
If we compare the most recent four months with the previous 16 months, we find case rates are now six times higher, hospitalization rates are almost seven times higher, and death rates are eight times higher. Even the case fatality rate is 42% higher.
In the time since one million doses of vaccine were administered of Vancouver Island, the pandemic has become much, much worse here. How can we explain that?
The BC Government would maintain that the spread of the highly-infectious Delta Variant is entirely responsible for the recent surge in cases, hospitalizations and deaths, and that the situation would be even worse if BC had not vaccinated so many of its citizens. The BC Government has doubled down, saying BC needs even more vaccinations, starting with children ages 5 to 11.
If it were true that things would be even worse now if BC had vaccinated fewer people, then we should expect that other nations with much lower rates of vaccination would have done much worse battling the Delta Variant. Is that true? Let’s compare Vancouver Island with three countries that have much lower rates of vaccination: Nigeria, Bangladesh and Japan:
If the surge in cases on Vancouver Island is only due to the Delta Variant, how do we explain the fact that the case rate on Vancouver Island in that week was 100 times that of Japan? How is possible that the death rate on Vancouver Island was 350 times that of Nigeria, 35 times that of Bangladesh, and 80 times that of Japan? I have only shown three of the dozens of countries that have done a much better job than BC of reining in Delta cases and deaths, despite sometimes much lower vaccination rates. It’s dishonest of the BC Government to blame everything on Delta when other jurisdictions haven’t been swamped with new cases and deaths to the extent that Vancouver Island has been.
If administering more a million dose of COVID vaccines on Vancouver Island was supposed to be a “gamechanger,” how is it that cases, hospitalizations, and deaths here have skyrocketed over the past four months?
If this is success, what would failure look like?
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Note: The source of the information in the countries chart chart above is as follows:
The weekly case numbers and deaths for Vancouver Island for the week ending November 27th are pulled from the two tables for “week 47” shown above.
I got the case, death and vaccination rates for the three countries shown by googling “Coronavirus Nigeria,” “Coronavirus Bangladesh” and “Coronavirus Japan” which brings up the John Hopkins University data set. Mousing over case rates, I pulled off the 7-day average for November 27 and multiplied it by seven. I moused over the individual dates in the chart for deaths. Island Health’s website gives the population in the VIHA area. I pulled population stats for the 3 countries from Worldometers. Here’s the raw data:
Simply divide cases and deaths by the millions in population to create the countries chart above.
Nigeria has more than 213x more people that Vancouver Island, yet has less cases and deaths. Yet, if we search up the vaccination rate of Nigeria, it has 1.9% of people fully vaccinated. It did not take much research to find these stats, simple multiplying and google searching, yet Bonnie Henry 's ''top scientists'' can't find these stats. Maybe I should look into becoming a scientist, as it appears I'm the Einstein of science. When I become a scientists, I'll tell my co-workers about bruceohara.substack.com and then we will finally have real info. Also funny how the government tells me not to take ivermectin, or any vitamins, yet begs me take the vaccine, yet if you do a tiny bit of research, ivermectin + vitamins > than vaccine! It seems as if the government is working with COVID to help it kill and infect as many people as possible.