Pity the poor government data geeks. It's their job to track the progress of the COVID pandemic as quickly and accurately as possible. But sometimes the data shows things that governments would prefer remained hidden.
What do you do if you’re that data geek? You love data or you wouldn't have become a data geek. But you know if you reveal the truth directly, you might lose your job.
One solution is to bury the offending data 50 pages deep in a technical report, as we saw with last week’s Scottish Data.
The other solution is to bury any inconvenient data deep in a government data set. That way only other data geeks can find it.
I suppose that's how a government data geek makes peace with their conscience: They didn't alter the data, and they didn't suppress the truth, they just made it hard to find.
I suspect some of those data geeks want the truth so come out. They're hoping someone will realize the implications of the data they have so carefully tracked. So they release the information in a form where the truth is fairly obvious if you look closely.
I think of it a little bit like the philandering husband who doesn't check whether there's lipstick on his collar, because at some level he's ashamed of his behaviour and he wants to get caught.
The following table is based on data from from British Government spreadsheet data put out by the Office of National Statistics. I've put the raw data below in a postscript, with information on how I got from the raw data to this table, for anyone who wants to check my work.
This data shows deaths by specific age groups and vaccination status during nine months of last year. On the left is deaths from all causes, on the right is deaths from or with COVID:
I'm most interested in the 10-14 age group. On the right you'll see that 0.1 one child per hundred thousand person-years dies of or with COVID. We can see that getting partially or fully vaccinated reduces that risk to zero. Good news, right?
Let's scale it up to get numbers that are easier to work with. Over the two years of the COVID pandemic, out of every million British 10-14-year-olds, this data indicates two will have died of COVID. I have to strongly suspect the two pre-teens-in-a-million that died were not healthy. The Government has that information. It would be nice if they could release it. I'm sure the parents of healthy pre-teens everywhere would really like to know.
On the left, at the top, you see the all-cause death rate for 10-14 year-olds: 5 per 100,000 person- years. That means that over the two years of the COVID pandemic, we can calculate that 100 pre-teens in a million die of all causes. Only two percent of the pre-teens who died in England over the course of this pandemic died of or with COVID.
That's not the thing that's really surprising about this table though.
You can see that 5 out of every 100,000 unvaccinated children die from all causes. But 45 out of every 100,000 single-vaccinated pre-teens die of all causes. What is causing single-vaccinated preteens to die at nine times the rate rate of unvaccinated pre-teens?
Look over one more column: 228 out of every 100,000 fully-vaccinated preteens are dying per year. What is causing fully vaccinated pre-teens to die at 37 times the rate of unvaccinated pre-teens?
I can think of at least three possible explanations for this discrepancy that don't involve fatal vaccine side-effects. One is that the number of vaccinated pre-teens is quite small. That means chance could be responsible for at least part of the the increased death rates seen among the vaccinated. The second possibility is that the incidence of COVID was higher after the first pre-teens were vaccinated than it was at other times. The third confounding factor is that we can guess that children with serious comorbidities are likely to get vaccinated as soon as possible. Those children are also more likely to die, because of those same comorbidities. Taken together, these three confounding factors might double or triple the apparent risk over the actual risk. But 37 times? I don’t think so!
This is a huge red flag on vaccinating children, especially given indications we’re seeing that American mortality data is changing in strange and worrisome ways.
What's the worst case scenario here? Vaccinating pre-teens prevents 2 COVID deaths per million children over a two year period, but vaccine side-effects kill 4,760 pre-teens per million over the same time period. A less-than-ideal risk-benefit ratio.
The data in this table cries out for a thorough investigation by the British Government. Who is dying, and why? With luck, a much closer inspection of the data will reveal that vaccinated children are dying at a much higher rate than unvaccinated children for some reason other than unrecognized vaccine side-effects. (As the father of a fully-vaccinated 24-year-old, I sincerely hope this is true.) Until that detailed investigation has been completed, it is reckless and dangerous to continue to vaccinate children.
Hell, at this point we can guess that the majority of Canadian pre-teens already have Omicron-induced natural immunity, an immunity that is more current, more robust, and more long-lasting than any immunity that the COVID vaccines could provide. There's no point in vaccinating children now when the large majority of children will already be Omicron-recovered before those vaccines could take effect.
Before leaving this topic, I would ask you to notice that neither partial nor full vaccination reduces the overall risk of dying for any age cohort below the age of thirty.
There’s been a huge amount of state-sponsored propaganda that vaccination will reduce the death rate among young people. There’s just one problem. It’s not supported by the data.
I'm sure there are many reading this who are certain I'm a rabid anti-vaxxer. I'm not. If I had been ten years older, or fifty pounds heavier, I would have gotten vaccinated, because then the risk-benefit trade-off would have clearly been in my favour.
Look back at the table above. If you're ninety and unvaccinated, your risk of dying is 50,882 per 100,000 person-years. (More than 50%, each year!) Getting COVID vaccinated at age 90 reduces your overall risk of dying by two-thirds. That's well worth doing! I'm not against vaccination per se.
I am very much against coerced vaccination. I'm even more against coerced or bullied vaccination in age groups where the reduction in mortality risk from COVID may yet prove to be much smaller than the increase in mortality caused by vaccine side-effects.
Sometimes data geeks don't actively draw attention to what they've found, but they do post the unvarnished truth in all its glory. Take this information on Cumulative Excess Mortality in the United States for 2020 and 2021, from the USMortality.com website:
You can see on the graph, starting in April 2020, the US all-cause death rate rises above normal.
By the end of 2020, 411,000 Americans died in excess of what would normally be expected. In other words, 411,000 Americans in excess of normal died during the nine months we were waiting for vaccines to come and rescue us.
Because those vaccines could only be given out under emergency use authorization if no other treatment was available, the powers that be worked very hard to pretend that no early treatment was possible, and demonized cheap, generic medications like HCQ and ivermectin.
We know from the studies of the 100,000 Americans who did get early treatment, that 99.7% of the COVID deaths in 2020 were unnecessary. So the green line on the graph shows immense Public Health Failure #1, as month after month, tens of thousands of Americans died unnecessarily due to a deliberate failure to provide early treatment.
Now look at the blue line. That's what happened in 2021, after the mRNA vaccines arrived to rescue America from the scourge of COVID. Notice anything interesting? All through 2021, the number of excess deaths is HIGHER than it was in 2020!
By the end of the year, 469,000 Americans had died in excess of normal. Some rescue, eh? So there we have spectacular Public Health Failure #2. In the year since we have had COVID vaccines more Americans died in excess of normal than in the year before vaccines were available!
Somewhere in the United States there's a data geek who will sleep soundly tonight, at peace with their conscience.
PS: I'm sorry to not be able to give comparable data on excess mortality in Canada for 2020 and 2021. Statistics Canada is able to tell us that from March 2020 through September 2021 there were an estimated 27,585 excess deaths in Canada. Maybe by April or May, StatsCan will be able to provide us information on excess mortality in Canada in 2021!
Here's the first page of what my raw data looks like:
Columns A through F are the actual British Government Data. The cell G4 is created with the formula "=100000*D4/C4" That formula is then copied for the rest of the cells in the G column. The cell H4 is created with the formula "=100000*F4/C4. That formula is then copied to the rest of the H column.
From there I just cut and pasted the value of the appropriate cells into the earlier table. The same data is simply in a different order.
If you don't trust my findings, I've told you where the data is. Play with the data set yourself. If you find anything different from what I've shown, I'd really like to know.
PPS: I wanted to write more about how scandalous coverage of the trucker’s convoy has been in Canada’s state-run media, but this cartoon pretty much covers it:
Wow -- nice find.
The other thing that's apparent here is that these "vaccines" have no statistically significant benefit in terms of all-cause mortality in people under about 40 years old.
Me I'm in the 60-64 category. Looks like all-cause mortality is roughly double for the unvaccinated vs. the double-shot people. I'm still not interested in getting stabbed because I don't think the benefit will last very long, and we sure as heck don't know what the long-term consequences are.