I did statistical analysis of seniority for some of the unions involved in the merger of Air Canada and Canadian Airlines 20 years ago. The stats consultants on the other side were very much into finding images in the charts, like "sailboats" that they could build a narrative around. I just looked at the charts to see if there was any obvious discrepancies. There were.
In the chart you show, what catches my eye immediately is the totally anomalous drop of non-COVID deaths below the orange line IMMEDIATELY after the peak of COVID deaths in roughly February(?) of 2021. As a student of mortality statistical probability going back to John Graunt in the 17th century, I can assure you that didn't happen. Notice that in the earlier two peaks, the "non-COVID" excess deaths rose in tandem with the COVID deaths. This time, they inexplicably dropped right after the peak? Nope. Not buying it.
What I think you have there is progressive accumulation of reporting delays. In other words, "noise." Unless you can explain why non-COVID deaths dropped in the wake of a COVID peak, statistical noise is the most reasonable explanation.
chill sandwichman no need to write a whole school essay on comment dog
I did statistical analysis of seniority for some of the unions involved in the merger of Air Canada and Canadian Airlines 20 years ago. The stats consultants on the other side were very much into finding images in the charts, like "sailboats" that they could build a narrative around. I just looked at the charts to see if there was any obvious discrepancies. There were.
In the chart you show, what catches my eye immediately is the totally anomalous drop of non-COVID deaths below the orange line IMMEDIATELY after the peak of COVID deaths in roughly February(?) of 2021. As a student of mortality statistical probability going back to John Graunt in the 17th century, I can assure you that didn't happen. Notice that in the earlier two peaks, the "non-COVID" excess deaths rose in tandem with the COVID deaths. This time, they inexplicably dropped right after the peak? Nope. Not buying it.
What I think you have there is progressive accumulation of reporting delays. In other words, "noise." Unless you can explain why non-COVID deaths dropped in the wake of a COVID peak, statistical noise is the most reasonable explanation.